Edge News – February 2021 Newsletter

We don’t know if time really does go faster as you get older, or if we hit the ground running so fast into 2021 that it felt like January was over before it started. Either way, whilst many enjoyed an extended break after a challenging 2020, our teams were pumping with productivity.
It’s the year of the Ox and we’re pretty excited about it! Diligence, resilience, and upward momentum symbolise the Chinese year of the Ox, and our team couldn’t be working more diligently, resiliently, or with any more upward momentum! We’re so excited to be proactively involved in the energy transition, and working with many brilliant minds to bring a range of renewable backed solutions to market – financial and physical.

To say 2020 has been a colossal year………… is an understatement!

As the year rounds to an end, we would like to take the time to reflect and give thanks. Our sincere thanks to all those who have supported us during this difficult year. Our thoughts and best wishes go out to the individuals, families, and businesses who too have been adversely impacted by the events of 2020. We wish you well as you pivot and rebuild.

The year that was…

Big picture:

  • Trump does, well Trump things – drones, tweets, fails to manage COVID-19 better than anyone, apparently wins an election that he didn’t actually win.
  • China flexes its military muscles in our backyard, their international trade muscles get a workout too.
  • Oh, China also “seemingly” gifts the world COVID-19.
  • A global pandemic follows – 59.7 million cases worldwide, over 1.4 million deaths.
  • Entire industries and businesses are decimated as governments deliver unprecedented incentives.

Close to home:

  • Australian bushfires rage – 46 million acres burn, 1 billion animals perish, 6,000 buildings go, 34 people die.
  • Australia locks down to the threat of COVID-19 – 27.8k cases, over 900 deaths.
  • State and federal governments start spending, leading us into 2021 with a propped-up economy.
  • The RBA drops the cash rate to 0.10%.
  • Energy prices crash – only recently starting to rebound.
  • Many equity and commodity markets crash – most having firmly recovered.
  • Victorians are banished, for months.
  • The AFL grand final is played in QLD – and during the night! Go Tigers!!!
  • The State of Origin is played in three weeks, with the “worst QLD team ever” winning the series.
  • Northern NSW and QLD property prices soar, as they are deemed the safe space to be by cashed up southerners?!……… along with Chris Hemsworth and his mates.
  • Anna has “kept us safe” so she lives to torment Gladys another day.

 Closer to home:

  • Edge Energy Services turns 13 years young and is rebranded Edge2020.
  • Our team trades over $627 million in energy and environmental products.
  • Over 5.7 TWh  approximately $283 million in energy.
  • Over 800k Large-Scale Generation Certificates (LGCs), 1.2m Small-Scale Technology Certificates (STCs), and 33k Energy Savings Certificates (ESCs), totalling over $77 million in environmental certificates.
  • We facilitate over 775 GWh p.a. of renewable power purchase agreements (PPAs), with terms from 5 to 9 years and a total value of over $267 million.
  • We dive deep into the Safeguard Mechanism and deal in several Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs).
  • We continue to structure competitive renewable deals, and we blend and extend as we knowingly fall on our progressive portfolio management sword.
  • We say a temporary goodbye to a few large clients, as they bed down with fixed term fixed (COVID friendly) prices and + 30% savings.
  • We re-contract a number of larger clients, as they continue to support us as a valued business partner and energy management team.
  • Our team expands, then contracts, as we ride the wave of uncertainty.
  • Edge LIVE gets a welcomed facelift and a few new features, including deal capture.
  • Edge Utilities is reborn, officially launching on 1 July 2020. With a tenacious new National Sales Manager and some valued service providers, we deliver a shiny new website edgeutilities.com.au.
  • We dive into the world of strata / body corporate and all things embedded networks – determined to bring value to a “smaller” large consumer.
  • Our journey in this new world uncovers the good, the bad, and unfortunately, the ugly.
  • New products and business opportunities arise, pipelines grow, new trading partners present, new alliances are formed.

On a more personal note:

  • R U OK? Day coincides with me going public in support of kinder client relations with staff – too many lives lost, too many reasons why.
  • We focus on our people, as individuals that instinctively operate within our core values – with integrity, honesty, trust, loyalty, and respect.
  • With increased working from home arrangements, we become even more focused on cultivating a cohesive, supportive, and collaborate team culture.
  • We watch David Attenborough’s witness statement “A Life on Our Planet” and ask ourselves – How can we use our expertise to contribute to the “road to recovery?

2021 looks busy, but oh so sustainably bright!

  • We will shift our focus even more to renewable solutions, products, and markets.
  • Edge Utilities will move to become a fully renewable backed brokerage service.
  • We will soon be offering physical renewable solutions behind the meter and getting more involved in managing Frequency Control Ancillary Services (FCAS) and Virtual Power Plants (VPPs).
  • Edge2020 will continue to play a key role in assisting our clients to achieve their sustainability objectives and proactively manage energy market risks.

With renewable solutions exponentially gaining momentum, we’ve never been more excited about where our market and products are headed!

We hope you take a well-earned and restful Christmas break with loved ones.

Our team look forward to sharing much more detail with you soon and working with you in 2021.

Stay safe and well.

Stacey Vacher
Managing Director, Edge2020, Edge Utilities

What is a VPP?

Many of you would have seen the acronym VPP floating around the energy industry, in AEMO documents and publications like the Integrated System Plan (ISP). So, what is a VPP? A Virtual Power Plant (VPP) is basically an aggregation of resources. These can be generation, storage and controllable load from decentralised sources.  All being coordinated to deliver services to the power grid including electricity, FCAS and other power system services.

Last week battery manufacturer Sonnen reached the magic threshold of 1MW to operate in the National Electricity Market (NEM) and plans to operate a VPP.

The German based company, Sonnen, now owned by Shell, has built a network of customers to allow their Sonnen branded home batteries to participate in the company’s new virtual power plant.  This has been designed to provide frequency control services. The customers will receive a financial benefit through cash payments. Sonnen’s new program will also provide grid stability services.

The VPP branded, sonnenConnect is Sonnen’s first VPP worldwide.

Each Sonnen battery will not be heavily relied on due to the nature of the VPP aggregating all outputs. To operate in the FCAS market, each household will only be required to supply 4kWh of energy to provide the essential grid stability services.

To be eligible to participate in Sonnen’s VPP and rewards program, households will need to have one of Sonnen’s batteries installed, with at least 4kWh of capacity. No additional equipment will be required to allow batteries to participate in the program as Sonnen batteries incorporate the necessary control systems.

Sonnen has chosen Australia to launch its VPP products as Australia is more open to the establishment of VPPs, along with the high uptake of battery storage system installations compared to other parts of the world.

“With the growing uptake of rooftop solar and home batteries globally, utilities are recognising the importance of home batteries in Frequency Control Ancillary Services (FCAS) or what is known as demand response, to stabilise the grid when there is a surge in the demand for electricity”, Nathan Dunn, Sonnen Australia CEO said.

He also said “through sonnenConnect, we are rewarding customers who are providing us access to their Sonnen Battery when needed for demand response. Not only will they enjoy being energy independent, Sonnen Battery owners are working together as a community to stabilise the energy grid that connects millions of homeowners in the National Electricity Market.”

Sonnen has established a manufacturing facility at the former Holden factory in Adelaide. This allows Sonnen to be branded Australian made. They plan to use the Australian facility to produce other components and software for the energy industry including electric vehicle charging units.

Engie Expands in Australia

The influx of multinational’s into the Australian renewable energy industry is increasing with historic oil and gas producers such as Shell, BP and Total entering the market.

These global energy giants are making large acquisitions to expand their local presence in the clean energy sector. In a world where developers are struggling to bank projects the strong balance sheets of these companies is a welcome addition to the industry.

Engie is the most recent multinational company to expand in Australia with the purchase of development rights to the $750 million Hills of Gold wind project in northern New South Wales.

This project is the foundation development in the newly created Renewable Energy Zones (REZ) in New South Wales’s New England region. This REZ is the first REZ to be created under Australian Energy Market Operator’s (AEMO) vision.

The acquisition of the Hills of Gold Wind Farm will add 420MW into the region. The project was previously developed by Wind Energy Partners.

Engie is one of the world’s largest electricity utilities, with the French multinational operating more than 115GW of generation capacity globally, including a 19GW portfolio of renewable energy projects.

The project will consist of 70 6MW wind turbines and will be connected to the transmission network between Liddell and Tamworth.

Engie has previously owned power assets in Australia, being the operator of the brown-coal Hazelwood power station in Victoria that was closed in 2017. They have ambitious targets for Australia, hoping to develop 2,000MW of Solar and wind projects.

Engie has recently set up the Australian Renewable Energy Trust with Infrastructure Capital Group and Mitsui as a renewable investment vehicle. The trust contains Engie’s 119MW Willogoleche wind farm and it is likely the Hills of Gold project will be added to it.

Green Star Building Rating Reject Gas

In a major overhaul of the Green Building Council of Australia’s (GBCA) Green Star rating system, Australian buildings hoping to achieve the gold standard for sustainability will now have to ditch gas.

For buildings to achieve the highest 6 star rating, the building will be required to be fossil fuel free and 100% renewable powered.

The Green Star rating system was launched by the GBCA in 2003 as an independent and voluntary certification system that assesses the sustainability of construction projects across all stages of their life cycle.

Green Star rated buildings have been recognised as having a higher standard of sustainability and energy efficiency than buildings that meet the National Construction Code.

The industry has supported the need to eliminate carbon emissions from buildings and construction to meet obligations under the Paris Agreement, this has resulted in the new focus.

Atlassian, the company behind energy-savvy billionaire Mike Cannon-Brookes has signed on to use Green Star Buildings for its flagship new Sydney headquarters.

The new ratings will push for electrification however emerging technologies, such as green gas will be beneficial to reaching the higher standards as it aligns with Australia’s goals in energy transformation and emissions reduction.

Quarterly Report – Q320

Here at Edge Utilities, we specialise in delivering enterprise buying power to businesses, Strata and Body Corporates. The Edge Utilities Quarterly Report is a resource that educates you more about the energy and utilities market, in turn, helping you. The report consists of an educational segment, market information (such as movements and forward fundamentals), and the occasional profile piece.

In this report, we will look at the National Electricity Market (NEM) and what factors impacted pricing and demand in the second quarter of 2020 (Q320). The impact of which COVID-19 had on Q320, has only been modest in respect to demand. Q320 saw the lowest wholesale electricity and gas prices in the National Electricity Market (NEM) since 2014. Some of the key drivers behind this result included:

  • East coast wholesale gas prices averaging $3.85/GJ, down from $9.75/GJ in 2019
  • Changes in the generation mix
  • Power system security concerns
  • Operational demand continuing to fall
  • Spot prices dropping
  • Falls in Electricity futures
  • Weather

Also featured in this report, is an article on the benefits behind using a broker or consultant.

Are you ready to Re.Think your utilities contracts to save money and get better value?

Download a copy of the full Q320 Report here: Edge Utilities – Quarterly Report – Edition 2

 

To keep up-to-date with Edge Utilities, connect with us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/edge-utilities/

Changes to your Energy Bill

Changes to your Energy Bill

The effects of COVID-19 have impacted the retail energy space heavily in the last 12 months. This has caused underlying costs of electricity production to decrease significantly. It is expected that costs will remain low for the next 6 to 12 months.

As the Australian economy begins to rebuild itself in the next 6 to 12 months, it is expected that costs will remain low. Following the impact of COVID-19, came price changes with the introduction of the Default Market Offer (DMO) and Victorian Default Offer (VDO).

The DMO outlines the annual maximum total bill amount that an energy company can charge to eligible residential and small business customers in New South Wales, South Australia, and South East Queensland. Energy retailers use the DMO as a reference price, to guide how they structure their charges. However, retailers can set their own supply and usage charges provided they are equal to or less than the DMO price. The VDO is like the DMO, however is applicable to eligible Victorian customers only.

High electricity offers have now reduced significantly. This reduction means end users who choose to switch offers will still save money but not as much as prior years. The difference between the highest standing offer and lowest market offer has decreased by 10%. Although there has been a decrease in the overall offer price, Victoria has actually seen a 10% increase. The average market offer price is still considered to be quite high at 56%. It is unclear whether these changes are because of the DMO and VDO changes, or by increased market competition.

Market Competition

The increased market competition appears to be pushing retail energy prices down after the introduction of 40 new retail brands. In the last 12 months alone, 35 new companies have entered the market. There have also been 8 existing brands who have expanded into other states jurisdictions and are now offering new products. Net retailer margins across the National Electricity Market (NEM) have also dropped due to increased competition. This has seen on average, a decrease of $93 to $66 per customer in the last 2 years.

Products deemed to be essential services such as electricity and gas, have also continued to evolve. To appeal more to customers, retailers are strategically using add-on products as a way of selling the underlying product. Most retailers are doing this by bundling electricity and gas with internet and phone services.

As we can see, there has been a large amount of changes to the market and to customers costs. However, an Energy Consumers Australia (ECA) survey has shown that end users are happier. The results of the survey showed that 57% of customers believed there was value for money at today’s price. Switching rates are a leading indicator of customer dissatisfaction, and recently these have lowered.

 

Written by: Alex Driscoll

 

To learn about what else is changing in the market, read our latest article: https://edgeutilities.com.au/2020-isp/

To stay up-to-date with Edge Utilities, connect with us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/edge-utilities/

The Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO)

Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO)

On Thursday August 27th, 2020, the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) published its latest Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO). The ESOO is a 10-year projection of electricity supply reliability in the National Electricity Market (NEM).

In July 2019, the Australian Energy Regulator (AER) introduced the Retailer Reliability Obligation (RRO). The RRO was introduced to provide stronger incentives to market participants for investing in technologies that will improve the reliability of the NEM. AEMO uses the ESOO to identify gaps in the NEM’s reliability. Over the next 5 years, AEMO will work with the AER if there is a significant gap identified in reliability. As the ESOO covers the next 10 years, the second 5 years following the RRO looks closer at forecasts for the major transmission upgrades and the continued development of renewable generation.

COVID-19 and other impacts

This year’s ESOO has assessed the impact that COVID-19 had on the NEM. It also looks at what affect this could potentially have on the outlook’s uncertainty. COVID-19 combined with the change in generation mix, demand changes, and gas market changes has provided a positive outcome. Due to these changes, AEMO has forecasted no unserved energy (USE) for the upcoming summer season. Unserved energy is a measure of the amount of customer demand that cannot be supplied within a region. This  happens due to a shortage of generation, demand-side participation or interconnector capacity.

The ESOO will require an update if life after COVID-19 returns to normal faster than expected. AEMO has also stated a few points of concern relating to the delays or deferment of planned outages that could affect reliability over summer.

ElectraNet, South Australia’s high voltage transmission network specialists, have reduced the summer rating on the Victoria to South Australia Interconnector. This reduction follows the damage incurred during the bushfires in the beginning of 2020. One downside of the reduced flow across the interconnectors, is further delays in the commissioning of renewable projects across the regions. This means that AEMO may need to deploy the Reliability and Emergency Reserve Trader (RERT) to manage the contingency events resulting in USE.

A new focus

After summer, the focus will shift to look at the reliability in NSW. This will be following on from the retirement of the Liddell Power Station. The outlook on this has improved since last years’ ESOO, with the augmentation of the Queensland to New South Wales Interconnector (QNI). This will take place in 2022-2023 and aims to increase renewable generation development in the region.

By 2025, minimum operational demand will change from the overnight period to occur at midday. This is due to an increase in rooftop solar panels and batteries. This will lead to challenges when managing voltage, system strength and inertia. AEMO has recognised this and are working with aggregators of Distributed Energy Resources (DER) to offer services such as increased photovoltaic (PV) controllability, load flexibility, storage, and load shifting.

New projects moving forward will require all new distributed PV installations to have suitable disturbance ride-through capabilities and emergency PV shedding capabilities. This will cause increased costs and delays in commissioning the projects.

AEMO is working with various stakeholders and industry experts to ensure energy supply is protected from the effects of increasing frequency, extremity and scale of climate induced weather events that have been observed in prior years. The NEM will continue to see a large quantity of renewable generation connections. Approximately 4,300 MW of new capacity is forecasted to be operational this summer and 1,900 MW of this is expected to be in Victoria alone.

A more realistic outlook on Summer

As COVID-19 is unpredictable, AEMO have warned that there is risk in their forecast regarding no USE this summer. Due to this, there is a level of uncertainty regarding the supply of electricity during the coming summer. Although, AEMO have still not seen a requirement to contract the volume of long-term RERT as seen in previous years. If renewable generators do experience delays, AEMO will continue to outsource short-term RERT suppliers as an emergency backup.

The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) are forecasting La Niña this summer. This occurs when equatorial trade winds become stronger, the ocean surface currents change. This then draws cooler deep water up from below. La Niña will result in a cooler, wetter climate for this year’s summer. Because of this, we are likely to see less stress on the supply/demand balance this summer.

Federal Energy Minister, Angus Taylor has referenced this years’ ESOO in a recent statement. He informed Australians that households and businesses will have reliable electricity moving forward. However, AEMO have tempered this statement commenting that there may be issues after 2023 if capacity does not increase. Although there are fewer planned outages for coal and gas generators this summer, COVID-19 may extend repair times. Due to this risk, AEMO is taking everything they can get as an emergency backup under the RERT scheme.

 

Written by: Alex Driscoll

 

Read our article on the recently published Integrated System Plan (ISP) here: https://edgeutilities.com.au/2020-isp/

To keep up-to-date with Edge Utilities, connect with us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/edge-utilities/

The 2020 Integrated System Plan (ISP)

What is the Inegrated System Plan?

The Australian Electricity Market Operator (AEMO) recently published the 2020 Integrated System Plan (ISP) which is intended to maximise the value to end users by developing the market through an optimal development pathway. The ISP was endorsed by the Council of Australian Governments (COAG) Energy Council in 2018, and has since guided governments, the industry and consumers on investments needed for an affordable, secure, and reliable energy future.

The ISP is a 20-year roadmap for the National Electricity Market (NEM) and is updated by AEMO every two years with their response to the latest technology, economic, policy and system developments. The report identifies investment choices and recommends essential actions to optimise consumer benefits. Although the report is published by AEMO, they are not the only party to have an input in the ISP. In preparation of the 2020 ISP, an 18-month consultation program took place where over 200 stakeholders were consulted, 8 workshops were held, 3 webinars were hosted, and 85 written submissions were provided.

The 2020 Integrated System Plan

The 2020 ISP is expected to deliver approximately $11 billion in net market benefits to the NEM the next 20 years. These benefits come together with the market reform which is currently aiming to attract investments and optimise markets outcomes. The market reform is being coordinated by the Energy Security Board (ESB) with market bodies such as the Australian Energy Regulator (AER), Australian Energy Market Commission (AEMC) and AEMO.

It has been highlighted in the 2020 ISP, that as the generation mix changes with the retirement of coal generation, the least-cost transition should be through Distributed Energy Resources (DER), Variable Renewable Energy (VRE) and investment in transmission infrastructure. DER is expected to double, if not triple, providing around 13-22% of the total underlying annual energy consumption. Although, more than 26 GW of new VRE is needed to replace 63% of coal-fired generation that is set to retire.

Dispatchable resources between 6-19 GW are also needed to back up the renewable energy generators. These dispatchable resources will be in the form of utility-scale pumped hydro, fast responding gas-fired generation, battery storage, demand response and aggregated DER participating as virtual power plants. It was also highlighted that there is a growing need to actively manage power system services such as voltage control, system strength, frequency control, inertia, ramping and dispatchability.

AEMO’s Forecasted Projects

To achieve the desired results, there are several projects outlined in the 2020 ISP that were broken down into committed projects, actionable projects, actionable projects with decision rules and future projects. The committed projects are aiming to address cost, security and reliability issues and have already received regulatory approval. The South Australia system strength remediation is one of these projects, which will see the installation of four high-inertia synchronous condensers and is on track to be completed in 2021.

The Western Victoria Transmission Network Project is a two-part project due to be completed in 2021 and 2025 to support generation from the Western Victoria REZ, including new 220 kV and 500 kV double-circuit lines. The last of the committed projects is the QNI Minor which is set to be commissioned in 2021-22 and will involve a minor upgrade of the existing interconnector, adding over 150 MW thermal capacity in both directions.

Actionable Projects

The actionable projects include a minor upgrade to the existing Victoria ‒ New South Wales Interconnector (VNI), which is expected to be complete by 2022-23. There will be a new 330 kV double-circuit interconnector created between South Australia and New South Wales which is due to be complete by 2024-25. In the same year, the Central-West Orana REZ Transmission Link is set to spark network augmentations to support its development. In 2025-26, there will be a 500 kV transmission upgrade to reinforce the New South Wales southern shared network and increase transfer capacity between the Snowy Mountains hydroelectric scheme and the region’s demand centres.

Two projects that are actionable with decision rules are the VNI West project and the Marinus Link. VNI West is a new High-Voltage, Alternating Current (HVAC) interconnector between Victoria and New South Wales and the Marinus Link involves two new High-Voltage, Direct Current (HVDC) cables connecting Victoria to Tasmania, each with 750 MW of transfer capacity and associated alternating current transmission.

Future Projects

Some of the future projects include Queensland to New South Wales Interconnector (QNI) Medium and Large interconnector upgrades, three additional Queensland augmentations, three New South Wales augmentations, and two South Australian augmentations.

AEMO has forecasted a great deal of change to the NEM and Edge is looking forward to seeing the progress of the upcoming projects.

 

Written by: Alex Driscoll (Senior Manager, Markets and Trading)

 

To learn more about the National Electricity Market (NEM), read our educational article: https://edgeutilities.com.au/an-introduction-to-the-nem/

Quarterly Report – Q120

2020 Edge Utilities First Quarter Report

The world has certainly changed in the last six months. So many aspects of our lives have been altered by something we can’t control and left us wondering if things will ever go back to normal. While this has brought trouble and uncertainty, it has also given us a chance to pause. At Edge Utilities, we’ve used this time to re-think how we can help businesses, Strata and Body Corporates take back control of their utilities contracts.

We’ve refined our offering, and our brand. And we’re standing by to help you secure the best value utilities solutions on the market.

The first quarter of 2020 (Q120) has seen the lowest wholesale electricity and gas prices in the National Electricity Market (NEM) since 2016.

Key Drivers:
  • East coast wholesale gas prices averaged $5.63/GJ, down from $9.75/GJ in 2019
  • Power system events result in higher system costs
  • Falls in Electricity futures
  • Weather
  • NEW Spot Prices
  • Electricity Demand
  • ASX

When we think of our electricity bill, we think of the cost of the electricity we are using as the cost we pay our retailer. But this is not the only portion of your bill.

Electricity costs are made up of several elements, retailer energy costs, environmental liability, network costs, market costs and metering costs. Some of these are within your control and some are regulated and pass through to the end user.

You can pay more depending on your geographical location, payment method and the type of tariff you are on. In this article we will investigate each of these cost elements and what we can do to help you manage your bill.

Are you ready to Re.Think your utilities contracts to save money and get better value?

Download a copy of the full Quarterly Report here: Edge Utilities – Quarterly Report – Edition 1

 

To keep up-to-date with Edge Utilities, connect with us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/edge-utilities/