AER’s 2023 Energy Market Report: A Year of Positive Shifts but with Persisting Challenges

Hand holding a green pinwheel aloft against a clear blue sky

The Australian Energy Regulator (AER) has released its annual report on the ‘State of the Energy Market’ for 2023. The report highlights the changing dynamics in Australia’s electricity and gas markets.

The energy system has shown remarkable resilience and adaptability in 2023, facing fewer challenges than the previous year. The report notes a significant drop in wholesale electricity market prices from their 2022 peak. This decline is due to proactive government interventions in the coal and gas sectors. However, prices are still relatively high compared to historical data.

The fluctuations in wholesale prices have had a ripple effect on the retail sector. Electricity bills have increased between 9% and 20% across all NEM jurisdictions in the 2022-23 period. This surge has added to the financial burden on households already facing broader economic challenges.

Renewable energy is a key focus of the report. With the global emphasis on sustainable energy sources, investments in renewables are crucial for phasing out coal generation. This transition is further exemplified by the smooth retirement of Liddell in April 2023, made possible by the upswing in renewable generation and positive market circumstances.

However, transitioning to a new energy infrastructure is not without challenges. The report highlights significant obstacles, including the magnitude of required investments, rising costs, and the importance of community participation in planning and execution.

The Australian Government is not addressing these challenges alone. Collaborative initiatives between the federal government and state and territory counterparts have emerged, highlighting unified efforts to steer the energy market in a sustainable direction.

The report also underscores the interconnectedness of the electricity and gas markets. As regions shift from gas to electricity, such as replacing gas heating with electric solutions, the gas market is expected to experience less pressure. However, this shift also signals an increase in electricity demand, driven by trends such as the adoption of electric vehicles.

The framework for energy planning is also undergoing a transformation, with emissions reduction now a priority alongside price, reliability, and supply security.

Finally, the report raises concerns about market competition. Issues such as the declining liquidity of certain hedging products and potential monopolistic tendencies in flexible generation capacity, particularly in regions like NSW and Victoria, require monitoring. The AER’s expected new monitoring powers will strengthen its capacity to ensure a competitive and transparent market landscape.

In summary, 2023 portrays an energy market in a state of flux: adapting, growing, but also facing its share of challenges. Through collaborative efforts, strategic investments, and vigilant regulation, the aim remains clear: a sustainable and stable energy future for Australia.

This is a summary article from Edge2020 – read the original article.

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Negotiations Stumble at Chevron: Unions Strike and European Gas Prices Climb

Talks have stalled at Chevron, leading unions to launch a series of strikes over the next three weeks. This has already made gas prices in Europe jump. Two of Chevron’s key plants, Wheatstone and Gorgon, play a significant role in providing gas globally and to Western Australia. These strikes will go on for 10 hours each day, eventually ramping up to all-day strikes.

Prices for gas in Europe saw a sharp rise just after the market opened due to these strikes. Even though there’s a lot of stored gas in Europe right now, this situation could change if the strikes continue. Before these strikes began, Chevron and the unions tried to find common ground for five days, but didn’t succeed. The union felt that Chevron was asking for too much.

Experts say that while the strikes will increase costs for Chevron, they won’t drastically reduce the amount of gas produced. Yet, if the strikes get more intense, the situation might change.

Chevron mentioned that they’ve tried their best to make fair offers to end this standoff. They expressed disappointment that the unions want terms that are higher than what the market usually offers. Despite this, Chevron aims to find a solution that’s fair for everyone.

Edge2020 thinks that these strikes won’t heavily affect Australia’s gas supply. They believe it’s unlikely that Chevron will shut down both plants entirely because it could lead to major energy problems in Western Australia, and the government would likely step in.

This is a summary article from Edge2020 – read the original article.

Save Big on Energy with Edge Utilities! We’re your experts in tapping into the strength of bulk purchasing, aiming to significantly cut down your energy costs without any added expense to your business. Committed to assisting SMEs, we’re here to source the best rates for you. Reach out to us at save@edgeutilities.com.au or give us a ring at 1800 334 336. Let’s start your journey to effortless savings!

The Future of Heating in Victoria: Embracing Heat Pumps

In a world where sustainable energy solutions are imperative, countries and regions are devising varied strategies to meet their energy demands while also aligning with environmental considerations. While the UK has chosen to explore new oil and gas fields, Victoria is steering towards a more sustainable and eco-friendly path, evidenced by its recent decision to prohibit new gas connections in residential homes and government infrastructure.

The pivotal question that arises from this policy change is straightforward: With the cessation of gas, what’s the best alternative for Victorians to stay warm without overburdening the electrical grid?

The solution that has emerged as a frontrunner is the heat pump. Unlike traditional heating systems, heat pumps do not generate heat; instead, they transfer it. Analogous to an air conditioner operating in reverse, these devices extract ambient heat from the environment and amplify it to warm our homes. Notably, their efficiency is commendable. Heat pumps can produce up to 3.5 times the amount of energy they consume, making them a highly cost-effective alternative to gas boilers.

The Victorian government has recognized this potential and is actively promoting the transition. A fund has been established to support the electrification of new homes, with a significant focus on integrating heat pumps. However, the journey isn’t devoid of challenges. Balancing the increased demand on the electrical grid, factoring in rising electricity prices, and ensuring consistent supply are issues that need meticulous planning.

In summary, while the move away from gas represents a significant change for Victoria, innovations like heat pumps provide a promising and efficient alternative. As the state progresses in this direction, the vision of a sustainable, eco-friendly future becomes increasingly tangible.

This is a summary article from Edge2020 – read the original article.

Save Big on Energy with Edge Utilities! We’re your experts in tapping into the strength of bulk purchasing, aiming to significantly cut down your energy costs without any added expense to your business. Committed to assisting SMEs, we’re here to source the best rates for you.
Eager to see a noticeable difference in your energy bills? Reach out to us at save@edgeutilities.com.au or give us a ring at 1800 334 336. Let’s start your journey to effortless savings!

Good news regarding the 2023 budget, but does everything that glimmers gold?

A man and woman at a computer

In contrast to last year’s budget in October 2022 which forecasted a deficit $36.9bn for this financial year Hon Dr Jim Chalmers MP announced a surplus of $4bn in the 2023 Federal Budget, which is the first in 15 years.

Under a tightly controlled budget, the industry could be forgiven for worrying that there may have been unexpected shocks. Especially with the closure of Liddell, Baywater trip and extended outages. However, it was good news! But is everything that glimmers actually gold?

Little was mentioned in the 2023 budget regarding the huge windfalls the treasury gained from the commodity industry and that fact that 20 per cent of the surplus came from increased commodity prices.

Overall, the budget was scarce on Energy for large business, with it mainly focusing on infrastructure for Electric Cars, cost of living relief for residential and small businesses and the creation of a National Net Zero Authority.

There was a mention of the new Hydrogen head start program, giving $2bn to the scheme and more investment in green industry, which was expected. And interestingly a mention of the Capacity Investment Scheme “unlocking over $10 billion of investment in firmed-up renewable energy projects up and down the east coast” which we hope to hear more about.

The Gas and Coal caps were mentioned but there has been no talk of the Coal Cap either being extended or removed when it expires in December 2024.

Undoubtably in the commodity space the biggest losers yesterday were the Gas companies, due to the extension of the Gas cap at $12/GJ into 2025, increased taxes due to the extraordinary market conditions, and the Petroleum Rent Resource Tax.

The budget is expected to be picked apart, but overall, there are no major changes to the status quo, and the government is cautious about throwing around too much cash in the face of slowing economic growth.

This is a summary article from Edge2020 – read the original article.

The team Edge Utilities are passionate about renewables and sustainability, we are energy brokers with an eye on the planet. We are committed to helping councils and business communities reach their net zero goals through renewable power purchasing agreements (PPAs) and smart portfolio management.
To discuss options and plans for your community contact us at save@edgeutilities.com.au  or call us on 1800 334 336 to discuss. 

Gas Cap Extension: What Small and Medium Business Owners Need to Know

Gas fireplace

The Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen is considering a gas cap extension to the $12/GJ cap on wholesale gas prices. This cap, set to expire at the end of the year, affects both energy producers and users. If extended, it could provide more certainty for businesses that rely on gas for their operations.

Energy producers are worried about how the cap extension might affect long-term pricing, as it may include a “reasonable pricing” clause. This means gas companies can only charge a price based on production costs plus a reasonable margin, without considering their capital investments during exploration and development. Gas buyers can challenge contract prices through a formal dispute process.

Gas producers are waiting for the government’s decision on the cap extension before finalizing new gas supply contracts for 2024. The federal government is also expected to introduce a Petroleum Rent Tax, potentially increasing tax revenues by $100 billion. This tax may cause concerns among gas producers, leading to fluctuations in energy prices for businesses.

The new regulations may allow for exemptions, especially for new projects that increase domestic gas supply. The Australian Petroleum Production & Exploration Association (APPEA) emphasizes the importance of gas in achieving a cleaner energy future, urging the government to create settings that encourage investment in new supply and put downward pressure on prices.

Australia must keep exploiting its gas resources to meet its net zero emission goals. In the long run, this should benefit the gas and electricity industry’s producers and end customers while assuring their security.

This is a summary article from Edge2020 – read the original article.

The team Edge Utilities are passionate about renewables and sustainability, we are energy brokers with an eye on the planet. We are committed to helping councils and business communities reach their net zero goals through renewable power purchasing agreements (PPAs) and smart portfolio management.
To discuss options and plans for your community contact us at save@edgeutilities.com.au  or call us on 1800 334 336 to discuss. 

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Warning

plant in landscape suffering drought

The catastrophic impact caused by rising greenhouse gases

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)’s 6th Assessment Report (AR6) has shocked the scientific world and beyond. More than 250 climate scientists worked on this eight-year assessment, which drew an alarming conclusion about the catastrophic impact caused by rising greenhouse gases.

The report highlights that we are already experiencing the effects of 1.1 degrees Celsius warming, including summer arctic ice coverage, ocean acidification, and rising carbon dioxide levels. Moreover, it discusses the irreversible effects that can occur at as low as a 1.5-degree overshoot, including species extinction and loss of life.

The UN’s Secretary-General, Antonio Guterres, has urged nations to abandon the 2050 net-zero target for stronger 2040 packs while calling for developed nations to phase out coal by 2030 and block new oil or gas extraction. This, he believes, could hold us at the 1.5-degree warming cap. The upcoming COP28 in the UAE in November and December will be a true test of the global commitment to tackling climate change. However, with the chair being the CEO of the 12th largest oil business, there are concerns about softening approaches.

The AR6 shows that we are close to the point of no return and that the impacts of climate change require immediate action.

This is a summary article from Edge2020 – read the original article.

The team Edge Utilities are passionate about renewables and sustainability, we are energy brokers with an eye on the planet. We are committed to helping councils and business communities reach their net zero goals through renewable power purchasing agreements (PPAs) and smart portfolio management.
To discuss options and plans for your community contact us at save@edgeutilities.com.au  or call us on 1800 334 336 to discuss. 

 

Forecasted gas supply “gaps” this winter

gas fireplace winter

A report by the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) has warned of a potential gas supply gaps on the country’s east coast this winter unless the LNG exporters in Gladstone divert shipments from export to domestic customers.

The report estimated a supply “gap” of up to 33 petajoules assuming three Queensland LGN ventures exported all their uncontracted gas this year. However, Santos’ GLNG joint venture has spoken out against the forecast, saying that all three Queensland LNG ventures have committed to making all the domestic gas expected to be needed this year available. GLNG said it had already sold more than 15 petajoules of gas to wholesalers, retailers and power generators between May and September to alleviate critical peak winter demand in east coast gas and electricity markets.

Additionally, the other two Queensland LGN ventures had offered more than 20 petajoules of domestic gas for sale, and there had been no spot LNG export from Gladstone in 2023, the company said. Despite this, on April 1st, the Federal Resources Minister is due to decide whether to curb LGN exports from Gladstone on a quarterly basis if required to avoid shortfalls in the domestic market.

Industry gas executives are currently arguing for some relaxation of the rules to allow new projects to go ahead to meet demand and remove barriers to new gas supply investment on the east coast.

This is a summary article from Edge2020 – read the original article here: https://edge2020.com.au/edge-news/dispute-over-forecasted-supply-gap-in-east-coast-gas-market/

Edge Utilities offer market leading services for business and strata energy users. We help you navigate the ever-changing energy landscape, focus on renewables and save on your power bills through our Edge Utilities Power Portfolio. Reach out, we would love to assist you: info@edge2020.com.au or call on:1800 334 336

Is unaccounted for energy (UFE) allocation affecting my company’s bottom line?

Energy meter costs

I find myself asking, is UFE the UIG of Australia? Anyone who knew me in my past life in the UK knows that I harped on about Unidentified Gas (UIG) A LOT!
The idea behind the UK’s UIG is simple, it is to allocate the gas which couldn’t be attributed to a meter in an area, across all end users in that area in which it was used (known as “off-taken”). Seems simple right. But when was the last time you actually gave a meter reading? Possibly six months to a year ago, right? Well that means your off-take (unless you are on a smart meter) is estimated and you will be either over or under on allocated unidentified gas.

Now although this seems sensible with everyone eventually giving a meter read and therefore it will all work out in the wash,  the issue is currently exacerbated by the extreme increase in the gas price. These high prices are now passed through to retailers and then in turn our bills.

Now what does understating this UK gas usage or allocation have to do with Australia? Well, quite a lot. The system is similar, but not the same.

Following Global Settlements being introduced by AEMO we have started seeing Australia’s version of these charges coming into our bills. We allocate the unidentified – called Unaccounted for Energy (UFE) within each region by the off-takers in that area.

What we are not doing yet, which in the UK’s defense they do there (through XOServe), is take into account those meters which are half hourly ready (smart(er) meters) and therefore their usage should be known. Currently in Australia, the offtake in a region will be directly linked to your proportion of energy being allocated to you and you literally have no say in these charges, despite having updated metering capability.

The sore point of it all is, that this is occurring at a time where our electricity market is extremely high and therefore there is a possibility of the combination of large UFEs at high prices being passed through to end users, whilst having no control over the volume or price it is passed through at. This is leading to significant shocks to companies’ outgoings, as there is little to no visibility on the charge on any given month, and no way to forecast them for a company’s budget.

I fear that UFE will become my new soap box issue, but I can guarantee this isn’t the last anyone will hear on this. I am pretty sure I won’t be the only one who will be making noise.

Is this happening to you? If you feel you need more control of your company’s energy spend, please reach out to discuss joining our Edge Utilities Power Portfolio (EUPP) where we use the power of bulk purchasing to help Australian businesses of all sizes save on their energy bills. Read more: https://edgeutilities.com.au/edge-utilities-power-portfolio/ or call us on: 1800 334 336 to discuss.  
 

HYDROGEN PLANT CRITICAL

Andrew Forrest is one step closer to building a hydrogen fuelled power plant in NSW with the project being declared as a critical state significant infrastructure (CSSI) project. The CSSI status granted by the NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment show the $1.3B project has government support.

The duel fuelled 635MW power station is also hoping for support through the federal government’s Underwriting New Generation Investments scheme but at this stage no funding has been released to any project. The power plant forms just one part of Andrew Forrest’s plans for Port Kembla with his company Squadron Energy also developing the LNG import terminal.

The duel fuelled power station is designed to run on 50% green hydrogen but is likely to utilise the LNG available close by.

The Port Kembla power station is aiming for financial close by August 2022 and operational by Q125.

NSW Deputy Premier John Barilaro said the move to grant the project “critical state significant infrastructure” was driven by its “game changer” status in terms of supporting new renewable energy in NSW as coal power plants close.

The timing of this announcement is also good news for renewable energy project developers who have recently been invited to an expression of interest for the New England Renewable Energy Zone (REZ). The synchronous power station will not only provide an opportunity to burn clean green hydrogen but also provide much needed system strength services such as inertia.

The government has received 34GW of renewable energy interest which is 4 times the proposed capacity of the REZ. This has raised concerns from communities that fear over development of the area.

Matt Macarthur Onslow, from the Responsible Energy Development for New England, said the major expansion envisaged lacked “social licence”, and major divisions within local communities regarding renewables and concerns that they feel are being overlooked.

NATIONAL CUSTOMER CODE – PROCUREMENT CHECKLIST

Edge2020 & Edge Utilities are proud members of the National Customer Code.

If you are considering using an energy broker or consultant to support you in your energy needs, please read this first – National Customer Code-Procurement-Checklist

This guide has been created by the National Customer Code for Energy Brokers, Consultants and Retailers to assist you navigate key terms and conditions in your energy procurement contracts to ensure that you are making informed decisions about costs, commissions and fee structures, including any ongoing fees and terms.

It also includes practical questions to ask your broker or consultant if you need more information.

If you have any questions about your energy needs, please call us on 1800 334 336 or email save@edgeutilities.com.au